All sports betting comes down to two major factors: Information and Luck. And if you would ask an average punter which one matters most, he would assure you that luck is the prevailing one. But that’s not really true, is it? As much as we like to think that we are better than the bloke next to us, when it comes to making decisions based on the information available and making predictions regarding the outcome of the games, most of us fall right down the average lane, on average. So what separates an average punter from the one drinking every round on the bookmakers’ expense? Well, the correct gathering and analysis of the available information, and then luck of course. Now, this is true for game-outcome betting, but what about football transfer betting?
What is football transfer betting?
This is the type of wagering that predicts what player (or coach for that matter) will change the club during the transfer window). And this type of wagering is all about the right information at the right time. That’s why serious punters always keep their ears to the ground and listen to those rumors. That murmur surrounding every club that gives off the subtle clues as to what is the general idea and whether a transfer is imminent. There is a bit of luck involved, but not as much. Transfer talks are usually a serious process that involves a lot of people and the luck parameter is avoided most of the time. And these talks involve a lot of people, some of which always leak some tiny bit out. That’s what you are looking for.
How to bet on football transfers?
Most of the bookmakers nowadays offer bets on the outcome of the transfer window. The ones you are looking for are the most obvious ones. If a player is unhappy with the club, chances are high that he would get transferred. Even higher if the club is unhappy with the player and they already have his replacement in the pipeline. Look for those odds and if you can’t find them, ask a bookmaker to create a market for you. Most of them will accommodate your request, regardless of how outrageous it is. In fact, the crazier it is, the higher the chances are that you will get a market for it.
Should you really go for it?
Well, if you are an average bloke, perhaps don’t get too excited about it. These bets require extensive research and constant paying attention, which for the most of us, does not sound like a lot of fun. Set aside a budget for this type of betting and try to get into it with a clear idea. Chasing hunches sometimes pays off, but a correct analysis of the available data is always more profitable. Lastly, you should consider these bets more as a way of “proving your right” than as a financial opportunity to strike big. One thing is for sure; winning a transfer window football bet is one of the better feelings and it isn’t necessarily about the amount of money you win. It simply feels great!